31. OCTOBER 2025 – PRESS RELEASES
 
31. OCTOBER 2025 – PRESS RELEASES
 
 
     
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
     
    
In terms of the macroeconomic environment, the third quarter saw several noticeable developments. 
Firstly, a tariff-induced recession did not materialise, and growth in the Nordic region is expected to be around or above the structural growth rate in the coming period according to Danske Bank Macro Research. In Denmark, the downward revision of historical GDP growth and consumer spending figures suggests that growth for 2025 as a whole is likely to be lower than previously expected. However, the Danish economy continues to demonstrate resilience, with robust public finances and an expected growth rate at the higher end compared with the other European countries. 
Secondly, the lower interest rates and rising real incomes are supportive for the economy. This is the case for Denmark and other Nordic countries.
These factors strengthen the outlook for sustained or increasing demand in both domestic and export markets.
“Nordic businesses remain cautiously optimistic. The near-term outlook is relatively good in both domestic and export markets, although there is a lot of uncertainty about the longer-term impact of tariffs, trade tensions and many other global political issues. Lower interest rates and higher real incomes should support the Nordic economies over the coming year, although low consumer confidence continues to curb the strength of the demand recovery,” says Las Olsen, Head of Macro Research.
We expect net profit to be in the upper end of the range of DKK 21–23 billion.
The outlook is subject to economic conditions.